What Deep Learning's Maturation Reveals About Future AI Progress

"And so going from, like, not being able to string together a sentence or even see very well to seeing as well as humans to passing tons of tests, passing the bar exam at, like, the age of 11 or something or 12, and now at 14 being superhuman at hacking." "And my question is, like, well, where will it be by the time it would be graduating college 2034?" "Because so much of this AI conversation is focused on, like, today's capabilities with a denial that they'll get any better despite them having gotten better for, like, fourteen years in a row."